Stretch Run

Hello there stranger, sorry I have not written lately but the race to the title has been too close to call. Two teams remain and there is a third who is not too far behind, but he just doesn't have enough time to catch up. So here's the deal, with exactly 14 days left in the 2010 baseball season, I am atop the standings with 119.5 points while the 2nd team is close behind with 114 points. Yup, just 5.5 points separate these two teams who have been slugging it out with each other all season. Here is my biggest problem - this 2nd place team is right behind me in home runs, trailing by 2, as well as RBIs where I only have 5 more than him. If he overtakes me in both of those, not only does he gain two points but I'll lose two points, making it a 117.5 - 116 lead just like that. The other problem is that he is totally safe with all of his points except homers (where he can feasibly lose 2 points if he slumps these past two weeks - but he owns Troy Tulowitzki - enough said). On the flip side, aside from me being in position to lose two points in homers and RBIs, I am super close in the WHIP category where I can easily lose a point, and I'm also tied for 2nd in Wins with a few teams hot on my tail there - so I can only gain a half point there but can easily lose two or three points should my pitching staff not collect anymore Wins in the last 2 weeks. If things were to go horribly wrong then I could possibly lose two points in ERA as well. So as you can see, I have a lot more downside than upside in the standings - the most amount of points that I an finish with, most likely, is 120 - so I only have a half point to gain. The 2nd place team looks like he can top out at 116. If he does, that would put me at 118 (because of the homers/RBI situation we already discussed) and then if my pitching blows it these next two weeks I can lose about five points in a worst case scenario in wins, ERA, and WHIP.

Conclusion? I just can't blow it. I have roughly ten more starts lined up over the final two weeks - I need to collect at least four Wins while not ruining my ratios. If I can achieve that then the second place team can have HR/RBI, however I'll obviously be hoping that does not happen.

Where do I stand personnel wise? Not good. Obviously the trade deadline has long passed. I have no more money to spend on free agents as I used up all of my budget weeks ago. To top it off, my lineup is just littered with injuries right now. Hanley Ramierez and Jason Kubel are both dealing with arm injuries and haven't played in days. Good chance they get shut down for the rest of the year. Ricky Nolasco's season has been over for over a month now with a knee injury. He was red hot and would've been huge for me down the stretch. James Shields has been planted on my bench for over a month now as he is just unusable. Depending on how I'm looking on Saturday I might plug him in for a home start vs Seattle. With Tampa trying to win the AL East that could be his one chance to make things right, to make amends with me after four long, up and down years with him on my roster.

So that's it, that is where I stand. Wish me luck, these last two weeks are going to be excruciating and I believe I have developed ulcers as a result.

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