In my keeper league, the Trinity Killers are clinging to anywhere from a two to 9 point lead, depending on the day. The frustrating part is that I don't fluctuate more than two points, from 108 to 110 - which is really good, good enough to win any of the past three years of the league's existence. The problem is that the 2nd place team, Majestic, is really surging (thanks to a trade for Albert Pujols) and has gotten up to as high as 109.5 and definitely has some points out there to pick up. This is a legitimate race and I cannot afford to blow another lead like I did last year.
So the logical step is to make a deal where I can trade off good keeper contracts in exchange for expiring contracts. The talent does not need to match up as 10 of the 13 teams are out of the running and this happens every year, they're called 'dump deals', where the bad teams dump their good players in exchange for good keepers as they're not playing for 2011 and beyond. I made an interesting offer yesterday that would help me immensely: I offered a $17 Ricky Nolasco (expiring), $7 Brad Hawpe (expiring), ( $11 Max Scherzer - free agent pickup so I can match the winning bid on him at next year's auction), $6 Scott Baker (signed through 2012) and $2 Jason Kubel (signed through 2011) for a $30 Roy Halladay, $6 Vernon Wells and $4 Paul Konerko.
The star of this deal for me is Halladay as I could use 80+ innings of guaranteed quality production. I'm giving up a lot here - for both this year and the future. On his best day Nolasco is a top pitcher, but he's been pretty inconsistent. Ditto Scherzer. Baker is the most inconsistent pitcher around and I've resorted to spot-starting him which is always a deadly game and I get that one wrong more times than right. Kubel at $2 is one of the better contracts around, he is so good and a legit .280/30/100 guy, amazing bang for your buck. Hawpe is dead weight. So on the offensive side, not that I REALLY need it, its a win for me. Vernon and Konerko are still doing their thang and would probably lock up the home run/rbi categories for me. And as good as Nolasco, Scherzer, and Baker can be on any given day, consolidating them into one Doc Halladay is a no brainer - he's the best in baseball in my opinion and would be huge for me.
I'm also facing an innings cap that I am currently ahead of pace for. If we go over 1,450 innings pitched on the year our pitching stats freeze, so I need to be aware of that. If I traded three pitchers who I currently use, to some extent at least, for one then that would solve my problem right there. My rotation would then look like Doc, CC Sabathia, Dan Haren (sick top three), James Shields and Kris Medlen. I would also fill my empty roster spots with middle relief pitchers with sparkling ERA/WHIPs and high K rates. This is my last chance to really gain some points - the place to do it is ERA/WHIP and the longer I wait to make a move the less time I have, and the more innings pitched I have amassed the harder it is to lower those ratio categories. I have officially made the offer, lets see if the other guy bites. He is done for this year so on one hand would be wise to get two good contracts plus matching rights for a third all for guys who are coming off their books. On the other hand they would we wise to shop these guys to the other two contenders and see if they can get an offer that would top mine. The good news for me is that the other two contenders are first and second in ERA/WHIP as well as competitive in the other pitching categories. They could still go after Wells and Konerko, who are ancillary targets for me, but I have a feeling Doc will be mine at the end of the day. The trade deadline is August 7th, so this needs to come together rather quickly, but I have faith. Once this move goes through I'll feel pretty good about protecting my lead for the last two months of the year. Lets bring home the trophy!!!
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Tuesday, July 27, 2010
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